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. >> in europe, google faces anti-competition measures. >>> in the united states, ben bernanke gets ready to outline an exit strategy to a skeptical congress. >> a warm welcome to "worldwide exchange." i'm chloe cho in asia. it's just past 5:00 p.m. in singapore. let's check on where the asian markets are wrapping up the trading day. mostly weaker today on the back of weaker consumer confidence numbers. and toyota lows taking the nikkei lower by 1.5%. the hang seng off 0.75%. on the other hand, we have the shanghai composite erasing all of its earlier losses, pushing higher by 1.3%. a lot of speculation in small cap stops and what may be linked to the national people's congress set to kick off next friday. other markets are weaker, the kospi down 1%. the bombay sensex has been trading around the front line. the aussie market asterisk comes off the table, a lot of commodities and resources lower. the s&p/asx 200 down .5%. let's check on the ftse cnbc global 300. slightly off 0.4% at 4,315. good morning, becky. >> good morning. it's about 10:00 on the continent. european markets have been t
>>> tonight on "the kudlow report," the washington snowstorm shut down congress. but ben bernanke released his new testimony, anyway. investors caught a chill on the news, and distinguished money expert john taylor has his own expert strategy rebuttal to bolster ben's manhood. you don't want to miss this one. >>> they're bearing gifts to the greece bailout problem. will the bailout issue ever end? >>> google is at war with china and now they're being thrown out of iran. they think they can stifle free speech, but i think the old human desire for freedom and democracy will still win out in the end. >>> has obama flipped out on greedy bonuses and business support? well, liberal columnist paul cra craigman is horrified, he thinks we're doomed. fasten your seat belts, everybody, "the kudlow report" starts now. >>> good evening, everyone. i'm larry kudlow. welcome back to "the kudlow report" where we believe free market kamt capitalism is the b path to prosperity. >>> our lead story tonight is fed head ben bernanke's leader to congress. how is he going to stop the zero interest rate mo
going on today. this is "mad money high noon." we've been listening all morning to ben bernanke's testimony. they're taking a break and we're monitoring it and return to it if need be. let's go to steve liesman. what do you think is happening here? >> the main thing to note is the thing he said again that the fed will remain exceptionally low for an extended period. there were questions about given what happened to the discount rate and given a very confusing financing program that they announced yesterday which is sort of a drain on liquidity. the main thing is bernanke steps forward and says we will remain exceptional, there are a lot of games and dancing going on about regulatory reform and games and dancing going on about some of the fed anger and the populist anger about where you go from here on deficits and that, but i don't think any of that is as substantial, jimmy, as the chairman saying here's the policy. the policy is what it was in january. one other note i would make, i thought his comments on the recovery were tentative and more on the one hand and on the other ha
. >> in the united states, the spotlight shines today, ben bernanke is back on the hill and president obama's high profile health care summit. >> hello there. a warm welcome to "worldwide exchange." it's chloe cho in asia where it's just past 5:00 p.m. in singapore. a similar scene that we saw as yesterday, of course, investors picking up on bernanke's comments. going forward, could be weak. of course, we had some weak housing numbers, as well, along with disappointing consumer confidence this week. take a look at the damage report. the yen is not helping. nor are the toyota woes. the hang seng, slightly off the shanghai composite. we did have the auction yield on three-month bills along with one-year bills earlier this week that left those yields unchanged. a lot of investors seem to be thinking that perhaps this could be a sign the pboc is taking it easy as far as tightening is concerned. as for the other markets, the kospi down 1.6%. the bombay sensex is pretty much right along the flat line and the aussie market lower by 1.2%, back below that key 4,600 level and take a look at the ftse cnbc gl
morning. i'm mark haines. >> i'm erin burnett. front and center, benjamin s. bernanke. >> yes. >> will be testifying in front of the house financial services committee about the economy and anything else they want to talk about. that'll be live in an hour. >> how about the exit strategy? imagine there will be some questions about that. the sec meets on possibly curbing short sales. huge issue for the market. full details coming up. >> and president obama meeting with key business leaders. it's all happening during this show. we've got a lot of breaking news, big headlines for you. we will be all over it, mark. how are your futures? >> not too good. >> no. >> up 0.70. we get a little break here because we closed a point above fair value. but, you know, looking at maybe 15, 20 points on the dow at the open. let's hit the markets. peel back the layers of the onion starting with brian shactman at the big board. >> thank you. listen, asia and europe were pretty mixed. germany, their economy in an absolute standstill. doint need to go over bernanke and all things going on in d.c. wi
because of the greece situation, and also because fed chief ben bernanke is saying that they're going to look into the swaps specifically with goldman. so that is an issue, of course, as well. i want to bring in brian shactman who has been down here all day and tracking all of this action. a very big day, indeed, brian. let's talk about the economic situation and how the jobless claims are affecting this market. >> the truth is when americans woke up today, we will have a negative open because of europe. the concerns over greece, of course, made the euro softer and the dollar strengthen. we've had a real correlation with the dollar and the euro in eshgsz kitties and jobless claims hit and it was muted and boom, we bottomed out and they were a concern today and we have traders saying this is a 70% greece and the others is saying 100% about jobs. a lot of earnings and there's a big, big deal that we want to talk about today as well. >> coca-cola enterprises. this had been to some extent, somewhat expected within the m&a community. when you see a deal like this a multibillion deal, one w
. the president, mr. bernanke, secretary lahood, testifying on the toyota issues on the hill. let's take a breakaway. we're going to watch them all and bring in john harwood, steve liesman and andrew par menty yea, managing partner with height analytics and open the discussion here. steve, you've been listening to mr. bernanke sum it up for us. what are the three or four bullet points. >> he reiterate that the fed will remain exceptionally low. that was a little bit more dovish than maybe some expected. you see the bond market rallied a bit. the dollar kind of hung in there. stocks have done better while bernanke's been talking. interesting comments on the volcker rule where i guess he's in opposition to the president's strong ideas about banning proprietary trading by the banks. he's saying you can do that idea, but it's frouth with danger and a better way might be to give the regulators authority to limit risky activity. he's got a less or thoughdox version of the volcker rule which is what is already in the house bill >> he also made interesting comments on deflation because one of th
anywhere on the globe. and then helicopter ben bernanke is going to capitol hill this week with a new blueprint for tighter money known as "paying interest on excess bank reserves." i don't buy it but we'll debate it. >>> and finally, the obama jobs plan which i call stimulus 2.0, full of gimmicks and high tax-job destroyers. i'll use my best right hook against the left jabs of mark walsh and david goodfriend two of my favorite liberal pals. fasten your seatbelts, everybody. "the kudlow report" begins right now. >>> good evening. i'm larry kudlow and welcome back where we believe freed market capitalism is the best path to prosperity. let's begin with tonight's money politics message. i'm trying hard to be optimistic about economic recovery in america and for that matter, around the world. in my world, optimism always beats pessimism every time. despite wayward policies from washington i still believe in the cyclical recovery scenario here at home. but the growing debt problem in the u.s., europe and elsewhere is starting to sack confidence in the optimistic growth scenario and i have
to thank chairman bernanke for being here today. starting with your discussion on page 4, in addition to closing special facilities the federal reserve is normalizing its lending to commercial banks through the discount window and you go on to talk about your new federal funds rate and discussion about why you have done this and encouraging banks to go to the private market for investment and you say further in this discussion that these adjustments are not expected to lead for higher financial conditions for households and businesses. the last thing i heard before i came here this morning was a prediction by some of the analysts on television that in about one month we can expect that there will be an increase in interest rates on mortgages and home loans and everybody that i've talked to really believes that this change that you have made in the federal funds rate is what's going to trigger that. is that true or did you give any thought to this? how can you guarantee that it won't? >> congresswoman, it's not the federal funds rate that we raised. it was the discount rate. >> the dis
with thousands of flights grounded as we speak. >>> fed chairman, ben bernanke laying the groundwork on the central bank's exit strategy for the economic rescue efforts. we've got details of what mr. bernanke said today coming up. >>> but first here's a look at how we finished the day on wall street. the dow jones industrial average under water today. down 21 points on the dow at 10038. under a billion shares traded here on the nyse, as people stayed home, instead of embracing the heavy travel and heavy snow. s&p 500 down 2.5%. quarter of a percent lower at 106 and the nasdaq composite gave up three points and technology one of the winners on the session as was financial services. we get all of the action right now from bertha coombs our floor on the nyse. >> reporter: hey, maria, all things considered it's not a very bad day on the close, even though we closed to the downside. the real factors that kept people hessittant today, the snow of course. that kept volumes lower, but also the uncertainty about where we're headed with greece. this morning, as you take a look at the intraday
. >>> ben bernanke, coming to capitol hill. the central bank chief is ready for tough questions from lawmakers about the economy, interest rates and the fed's exit strategy. and president obama reaching out to business leaders, hosting a white house dinner for some high profile ceos. today, he addresses a business round table. those stories and more as "squawk box" begins right now. >>> good morning, everybody. welcome to "squawk box." i'm becky quick along with joe kernen and carl quintanilla. we've been watching the markets this morning. after a down day yesterday, you'll see we're not getting any bounceback just yet. after yesterday's markets, obviously, you've got a lot of watchers waiting to figure out what happens. >> yeah. that consumer confidence number was troubling. >> it was. >> people now thil thinking maybe the sample was bad because i was worse than a lot of people expected at this stage of the game. we've got jobless claims high. we'll talk a lot about that this morning. but toyota's troubles are in the spotlight again today as the company's ceo appears on capitol hill
call." i am trish regan and we are 09 minutes into today's trading. market lower amid ben bernanke's comments and we'll talk about the fed's exit strategy and what it means for your money right now. hey there, larry. >> hey, trish. i'm larry kudlow, conflicting reports on whether there's a european plan to bail out greece. we'll have a live report from brussels and we'll discuss what needs to be done right here. good morning, melissa. >> as toyota's problems mount we ask are cars just too overengineered and sophisticated computers doing more harm than good. this is "the call" on cnbc. >>> it looked like it was going to be a positive day on this snowy morning in new york city as traders remained optimistic that there would be a bailout for greece, but then germany said there was no imminent plan and the rallies stalled and after ben bernanke announced the fed's exit strategy. take a look at how the s&p 500 is trading. it is down seven points on the day and it's two-thirds of a percentage point. take a look at the dow, it's down 59, almost 60 points and that's 0.1% and sitting below
. >> but they will be -- >> who will they be? >> ben bernanke. >> okay. senate banking committee. president holds a key health care meeting. that's why we have the white house. what else? >> snow in the northeast. it started as rain this morning for many this morning who are watching but it has turned into thick -- >> wet, heavy. >> idyllic if you're looking to -- >> don't shovel this stuff. >> well, good morning, everyone. it's good to be with you. we're here, glad you're here. i'm erin burnett. >> i'm mark haines. >> it says i'm market haines. i want everyone to know it's funny. >> yes, i noticed that. also front and center the number of u.s. workers filing initial claims for unemployment benefits rose unexpectedly last week. >> coca-cola striking a deal to buy the north american operations of its largest bottler. you just saw the ceo there. >> heinz posted $231 million profit. a lot of ketchup. >> futures are sad. >> not good. >> part of the reason for the sadness was an unexpected jump in unemployment claims. >> hum. >> much bigger jump than anticipated. a lot of people are looking through it and saying i
to entertain you. call me. the most dramatic piece of news today did not come from ben bernanke's grilling in front of the house of representatives. bernanke floated like a butterfly. didn't bother to sting at all. it wasn't the skewering of toyota by congress for which the takeaway is quite obvious. keep buys ford and ford preferred. no, none of that. the most sit-up and take notice piece of news today came from dollar tree. which skyrocketed six points, up more than 14% on a day when the dow gained only, well, like 92 points. s&p up a percent. why do we care about a dollar score more than the fed chairman or a huge automaker? first, in full disclosure, my good and plenties of toiletries at my local store did not skew the numbers higher. although it didn't subtract from the company's astounds 32% increase in earnings. no. what this number says and what the stox said in reaction to it along with the store's radically high guidance from 2010, is that the consumer, the consumer is bummed and the consumer is stretched. >> the house of pain. >> i tell you, you don't go to dollar tree to feel g
, will they or won't they? the bailout chatter for greece intensifies. >> and here in the united states, ben bernanke will set out the fed's exit plan today but will likely make jobs clear, we'll still be in the car for some time to come. >> and welcome to "worldwide exchange." i'm christine tan in singapore where it's 5:00 p.m. in the city. let's get a view of where the asian markets have closed today. a lot of hopes pengd on the european union. they might come up with a plan to bail out greece. the nikkei 225 is up marginally. toyota continues to be focused. that stock climbing despite anal announcement that it's recalling another set of cars. the shanghai market up more than 1%. a lot of positive comments out in the country about strong import data and export data and that's helping to lift sentiment in china. the kos pit is moving up flat. people and investors are staying on the sidelines. the bombay sensex is trading down 0.5% and the aussie market is pretty much flat, up 0.2%. the ftse cnbc global 300 up 8 points, 4,243. ross, good to see you. >> hey, christine. we're very much focused on the w
not agreed to anything yet. >> and ben bernanke will be releasing his ideas on how the fed is going to pull back from its current role of propping up the economy in every way, shape, and form. we're going to have that live at 10:00. i know his comments are coming out, mark. i'm not sure if he's actually going to physically be there because you know in washington it's a little snow. what are they going to do? >> i think they now have a total of 50, five zero, inches on the ground. >> yeah, yeah. >> we also have big snow issues in new york, baltimore, philadelphia, airports closed, schools closed. it's a real mess. this is a live picture. >> wow. >> well, it was a live picture of reagan national airport. it is empty. >> that's amazing. it really is. mark, you know i remember when there was a forecast of snow things would be shut down and called off and to your point pretty incredible what has been going on there. snowmageddon. that's an amazing picture, live. no one at the airport. >>> the futures right now are plus 0.70 on the s&ps. we needed 1.42 to get to fair value. so it's very close to
. bernanke's testimony was released this morning. on outlining an exit plan, the market pretty much took a slide. a lot of things that told about -- heard about. the 10-year auction did not go too well. rick santelli will have more on that, partly because of the low volume, because of the storm. as the storm's intensified here in the northeast i know that traders are concerned about getting home and we've seen volumes get lower. financials have been the standout all day and really moved us into positive territory midday. jpmorgan, bank of america very strong. and strong that perhaps metlife set to buy its alcoa unit. energy and materials have gone back and forth as the dollar has gone back and forth. dollar lost ground midday. we saw them gained and now they're losing again as the dollar is stronger got and also got disappointing outlooks from lothan mentel. the super markets, maybe one of the benefactors to watch as far as the storms. their stocks today are doing pretty well. a friend of mine sent me picture it is from washington area super market chains there, calling them, so be it, s
, as well, and nursing losses from the federal reserve chief ben bernanke. we've got all the details. christine, we're waiting for the timing. >> that's right. let's see the properties expect of a package for gooes, is it having any impact on the euro right now? euro/dollar, 1.3763. euro is higher against sterling, 0.8841. euro/dollar 1.3763. dollar/yen, standing at 90 evening. a lot of eyes on what will happen with the package. nicole. >> the snowstorm may gone in the i'd, but it's reeking havoc in the east coast, especially in washington. government offices are closed for a fourth straight day at the estimated cost of $100 million in lost productivity. the senate will be back in session this afternoon, but no votes are scheduled. the weekly u.s. inventory data which normally comes out on wednesday has been postponed again until friday. january retail sales in december business inventories which were supposed to come out today have moved to friday. we still get weekly jobless claims at 8:30 new york time and they're forecast to drop by 12,000 to a total of had 68,000. >>> pepsi corp
.s. but the old bugaboo, inflation and ben bernanke, will the fed reduce the balance sheet and get rates to more normal levels in my lifetime? >> hopefully you will live a long time, larry, so yes. unfortunately i have never seen the fed or bernanke articulate how to downsize the balance sheet. i haven't seen a plan out there to say, this is how we can do it. they are owns and backing these mosh mortgage-backed securities now and they will weigh reducing the balance sheet with propping up the housing market. we may see another republican revolution and a cut-back on the huge obama taxes on hedge funds, bank pay, small businesses and letting the bush tax cuts expire, i am not confident that bernanke has a plan to deleverage and 2.7% year-over-year growth in the cpi isn't scary, but it's not comforting either. >> you have cut back on your equity allocation, is that right, mike? >> yes, i am. i'm pretty much now at about 20%. jim points out the strong growth in corporate profits. a lot of it is from cutting overhead, cutting employees, but some junk bonds are attractive now for the companies that w
? >> a lot of speculation about the ecb and real quickly, i just want to mention that the bernanke hearing for tomorrow has been postponed. the expectation is that that is related to weather issues, of course. we've got a big storm coming our way here on the east coast. in the meantime we're looking at a market that's been up triple digits. up 99 and 100 as i speak and this is primarily because there is hope that, in fact, greece's problems may be somewhat tempered by the european union coming in and doing some kind of rescue, some kind of bailout. i want to bring in bob pisani. we've got a lot to talk about, bob. first, bernanke hearing. >> it's just because of the snow, there's nothing else going on. it's that simple and that makes a lot of sense and that's what traders have been saying and we're waiting for an official reason. >> mr. trichet is on his way back from sydney as we speak a day early and a lot of people are putting their hopes on him coming forward with some kind of plan. >> it's actually moved the markets. remember in '92 with the treat they created the whole euro, and gree
the toyota hearing that we've been watching here on cnbc. federal reserve chairman ben bernanke also telling congress today that interest rates are likely to remain low for an extended period of time to support the economic recovery. that's what really set the tone for stocks today and saw a rally in the market by 91 reports. cnbc's reporter steve liesman has more. >> reporter: fed chairman ben bernanke said those magical words that markets wanted to hear today, that the fed would stay exceptionally low for an extended period. he said that before but market his their doubts after fed hiked discount rate last week and the treasury, then, revived a program that helps the fed train liquidity. that is ultimate lie a program that could make financial conditions tougher. bernanke attempted to be crystal-clear on fed policy. >> the fomc continues to anticipate that economic condition conditions including low rates or resource utilization subdued in inflation trends and stabile expectations are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period. >> reporter:
on a bailout for the debt-strapped country. >>> on exit strategy, ben bernanke unveiling his plan for the fed's next move. and the house of mouse, disney posting strong quarterly results and investors are responding. a cnbc exclusive with ceo bob ieger, "squawk box" begins right now. >> good morning, everybody. welcome to "squawk box" here on cnbc. i'm becky quick. joe and carl are out today. steve liesman is spending the week on set with me and this morning we are joined by "fortune" magazine editor andy soerwer. >> good to be here. >> meantime, wall street is bracing for a winter storm this morning as the second snowstorm in a week descend eds on new york. washington, philadelphia, they are expected to be hit and hit hard. the federal government in washington is closed for a third straight day at an estimated cost of $100 million in lust productivity. government offices in boston, baltimore and philadelphia all announcing that they will be closed. congress, by the way, is canceling votes and rescheduling hearings. the united nations headquarters in new york city shutting down schools all th
by a blueprint coming out from bernanke this week on a plan for credit tightening? >> now, you know, this is the usual thing, nicole, bernanke will come out and he'll have to be careful what he says. he has been saying we'll have an exit policy but not yet. exit policy means look at my finger. higher interest rates. it's like saying the market correctors. was it wrong before? the exit policy is when we're going to see higher interest rates in the united states and of course the markets right now don't want to hear about that. bernanke is saying when the time is appropriate will include interest rates because the markets will want to know when is the appropriate time. can you spell out what's going to happen? the problem is guess what? we're having low unemployment so what if we have low unemployment the month after that? will that be the appropriate signal? >> there we go. andrew freris to stay with us. we'll get you some headlines making news right now. meanwhile, around the world, in the united states, the head of the world's largest bond fund says 2010 will be a year of sovereign
, a guy who's equivalent of ben bernanke he hurried back. the moment he booked that ticket the hedge funds figured he was going to solve the crisis and that's when they started rallying. y yun -- can you believe it? you just need to find out who his travel agent is and book your trade accordingly. if we knew he's on the case, we're less concerned about a collapse in europe and we recognize that he isn't about to cut off the stimulus that's so crucial to getting europe which has the worst economies in the world going in the right direction. if the stock market stimulus thing is still with us, then we're not going to slink back into a worldwide slowdown. trichet's travel interruption was so powerful it was able to do something i have not seen happen since the year began, maybe even earlier, and that is the stock market did not go down when the baron chief president obama spoke on tv. way to go, trichet. now, i know about zorba the greek than greek bonds. i get the gist of trichet's move -- memo to trichet on his travel plans, make sure they're never on a sunday because the markets aren't ope
, fed chairman ben bernanke has returned to capitol hill this morning. and investors are looking for more clues on the central bank's next move. and the markets at this hour have u.s. equity futures under a bit of pressure after yesterday's rebound as "squawk box" begins right now. >> welcome to "squawk box" right here on cnbc. i'm becky quick along with joe kernen at the cnbc world headquarters. carl is in washington this morning where president obama is hosting a televised health care summit. we'll have more from carl on that story. but joe, that's not the only news in washington today. >> no, it's not. we may pipe in that music with carl down there and he'll be looking good. he'll have his jacket on. >> he always looks good. >> yes, he does. also in washington, carl is there, but also this other guys that's going to show up. that's not really what all the scuttlebutt is going to be about down there. it's about carl. but ben bernanke will come back and testify on the hill today. yesterday he pledged to continue record low interest rates for, in his words, an extended period. >>
. >> if you want to keep jobs here, you have to find a way to incentivize corporations. bernanke's height rate plan. we will take a look at the policy shift. >> it costs $150 billion a year to treat alzheimer's. medivation is helping find a cure. the stock is up 80% of the year. their ceo joins us about their late stage development drug. >>> the fed is set to unveil its rate hike plan. it is going to be a delicate balancing act for policymakers. steve liesman heads big reporting on this story for weeks, months, maybe years, joins us now with the very latest update. steve, what are they cooking up? >> you know, the question, you know, fed chairman goes to the hill wednesday. the question is whether we will hear anything new from the considerable talk from the fed already about the exit strategies which we reported quite a bit. fed has been transparent about the plans to unwind easy policies. not necessarily in one place. the reason the fed wants to let markets know what it is cooking up for the piece. but afraid too much talk to believe war over the financial cries sis over. the fed does want t
much, sharon. we're not getting as much volatility today as yesterday although ben bernanke's tax did get a little movement. if you look at two-year yield it's slightly elevated and you look at the curve it's know changed. there's a potential for an exit strategy as depicted by that text. if you look at the next chart, indeed the euro versus the dollar has been mostly down, but it is bouncing back a bit especially in the last hour or so, keeping up with the headlines and some of those headlines, hey, the checks didn't have a good day and they sold an additional 150 million u.s. equivalent of their 15 year. they wanted to sell more, but portugal had better luck selling u.s. equipment of the 4 billion of ten-year note and let's hop across the pond and rebecca me ham. >> let's take a check of what's happening in europe and it's all about greece. no surprise there and we check on the fotse, the cac and the dax. 2.4% higher for greek eiquities today. we know we've had the european finance chiefsi having a conference call today. the ecb governing body is having a call tonight and tomorrow a
't paying attention. my lead of the bernanke speech was discount rate to be hiked. my lead on the minutes was -- >> it sounds like -- >> let me finish, melissa, just be clear, my sources are telling me in the wake of this that the concept there's another bit to come is not necessarily true. they may stop here. so the idea that somehow they're just beginning this process of going back to 100 over on the fed funds is not true. it's out there in a lot of stuff. they may stop here. >> rich bernstein -- >> i want to ask both of you. do you think fed funds december 31, 2010 will be higher than they are today? >> well, let me answer that question and put it back to you. the typical forecast, is that the unemployment rate will be 9.5% or higher. also, that the inflation rate over the last year will be 1 to 1.25%. i have to ask you if you think at that point the fed would begin to tighten? you tell me. >> first of all, i think the bond market will -- i don't think the bond market looks at core. i hate to argue with on you this one, but if we find the inflation rate starts breaking 3, 3.5, we break
year. government spending has done next to nothing. bernanke still has no real strategy. we're going to get to all of that with our market panel. who joins us now to talk about these many events of the week. we have peter morici of university of maryland. dan fitzpatrick and john carney returns. you know, dr. frolick, i want to begin with you. not greece, not the euro, not the snows, nothing really week.d stocks from going up the market has peaked in mid january and hasn't moved much in many months. but the fact remains, things may not be so bad. weigh in. >> i think it comes down to earnings, larry. we got some great efshgs. across the board, time warner, ann taylor, a look at comcast, even moodie and sony, it wasn't just earnings, larry, it was top-level revenue growth. the big picture, when you look at china, understand even with them slowing down, when they slowed down the first time, china banks still let $2 billion this january. third highest on record. as investors you have to realize this is money already in pipeline. when you think of china mustard seeds, larry, they're abou
. bernanke said it. a lot of people said it. and then i said it after you said it. >> i know it. and you're on optimist. >> i am an optimist. >> in terms of why i thought it was contained was, first of all, i was talking about subprime and we made the mistake of just simply saying the subprime was not big in relation to a 13, $14 trillion u.s. economy. and what was really going on is we were talking about housing overall and since world war ii, housing, residential home prices, had generally gone up. and the mortgages were just considered to be very safe investments. and so the kind of decline we saw was something that was not envisioned in any kind of model. it wasn't anything that many people that were close it to -- after the fact, it seems obvious to all of us. but the -- and so when you had the kind of decline we saw in housing prices that changed the behavior of those of homeowners, and, also, the other thing you and i were talking about before the show is this -- all of this complexity. so when -- it. >> it's crazy. mortgage-backed securities that were rated triple-a by a bunch of
't you tell us what you think after hearing a couple days of bernanke's testimony on the hill. does it change your outlook on what the fed is doing? >> no, as long as they use the magic words, extended period, we know the fed will be on hold for at least six months. that's what bill dudley told us. he said extended period was the language the fed has put in the policy statement, means at least six months. it was a phrase repeated by st. louis fed president bullard recently. so whenever bernanke puts his word in on it as well, we can feel assured that the fed is not likely to move for at least six months. the fed needs to be very clear at this day and age. so if they're telling us that that's what extended period means, that's what it means. and so, until there's some other clarifying comments, that's what we have to go on. >> we had somebody who told us yesterday that maybe they could move 25, 50 basis points. it's not the extended period but they're focusing on the incredibly low rates. either one of you guys quily think that's the case? >> the focus is on the extraordinary program
, you have three big concerns. bernanke's confirmation, slowing china growth and obama slapping the banks around in the aftermath of the massachusetts miracle. i think investors have really focused upon those things and have used those skuexcuses to t profit. >> you don't seem to think things are over. we're due for a pullback and maybe the bull market continues? >> you look at fourth quarter earnings right now and i guess we're about halfway through the season. two-thirds of the company have beaten on revenues. you have consensus earnings for s&p that have now moved up to $76 a share. that puts multiple of a 14 times forward earnings. you have core inflation below 2% year over year. 3.6% treasury yield. multiples are too low. you'll see more corporate earnings improvements and stocks will go higher. >> massachusetts miracle? massachusetts disaster maybe. massachusetts tragedy maybe. >> depends on your point of view. >> i guess it does. i want to get that other side in. >> why are you looking at me? phil is the guest. >> i'm sorry. >> jay, what do you think of that scenario? thi
'll bring you the latest, ben bernanke, et cetera, okay, bears have had such an edge today. you've got to admit it, right? don't they? greece could be in trouble. germany's so tentative, spain's next, jobless claims are terrible. strong dollar. you can only imagine then with that parade of horribles, how hobbled the consumer is, can't be buying right? no wonder we're down so much. then all of a sudden the facts get in the way of the story. look, i want to be bearish in all this news. i want to join my buddies and pals, friends, yogi, boo-boo, baloo and smoky, but then we get coal saying things are getting better and not just because of the two shirts and buy two get one free purchase of kohl's brand socks, the house brand, i made this four weeks ago, can you tell the difference in that quarter was amazing. it's every bit as good as saks' and macy's. then autoparts makers saying auto sales are coming back strong. it is up moving better than $1. can you imagine how much market share ford must be taken as its format seemed darn good even on a snowy day and good old prindel, that's neutral
of that market. >> diane, where does this leave fed chief ben bernanke in terms of interest rates and where we're heading? i mean, by most consensus here people would anticipate and he has said that he's going to leave them in a very low rate environment for quite some time. how long is that time going to be? >> you know, i've had the fed not raising rates until december for my entire forecast and i'm starting to re-think they might not raise it until 2011. this is a very weak economy. so the weather exacerbates weakness, no question about it. we may recoup some of those gains and we may recoup some of them in march, but at the end of day when you've got people losing income when they're living paycheck to paycheck already, that's just an economy that's not as resilient. it just underscores the fragility of the economy that ben bernanke himself said yes, the weather is noisy and we have to go through it and at the end of day this economy is not looking that great in the first quarter. >> speaking of that, let's attack today's data. milton, real gdp was revised upwards to 5.9% for the first qua
for the world economy if they do. >> what about the drama around ben bernanke. he was confirmed for a second term in the senate as chairman of the federal reserve. was it justified? is that deserved? separate three, fed kept interest rates unchanged. any surprises? >> well, it would have been pretty scary if they hadn't confirmed him. i mean, what it would say is congress wants to run the fed. there are other good candidates but ben has done a great job the last year especially, and it just wouldn't have been good for congress or for the institution if he wasn't. >> laura? >> i agree completely. this has been tied up with discussions that many members of congress have about really trying to weaken or take power away from the fed. >> are you concerned about the independence of the fed? >> i am. i am absolutely. >> why? tell me. >> congress got a look at what it can do. congress knew it could set interest rates but oh, my gosh they can print a couple trillion dollars of debt. they can buy consumer loans. we don't want someone to have that kind of power. so it makes them want to get in on that
an exit strategy to tighten credit once the economy picks up. chairman ben bernanke outlined what the fed could do but not when it would do it. the move would include raising the discount rate was what the fed charges for loans it makes directly to banks. it could also boost the interest rates it charges on excess reserves. money that they keep at the fed. that would give banks more incentive to keep money there and less incentive to lend which, of course, would in turn, increase consumer rates and slow down lending and the economy. earning season is slowing down but two consumer giants reported this week. consumer giant disney beat analysts' expectations while coca-cola met analyst's predictions. even though the debt crisis in europe may sound obscure, it's important to america and the markets in the u.s. to explain why and what could happen next, the ceo and co-cio of pimco, the world's largest bond fund. muhammad, always wonderful to have you on the program. thank you for joining us. >> thank you, maria. >> let's talk about these concerns about the debt in greece which, of course, has
news from ben bernanke, who gave testimony to nobody because of the snow. testimony which said he isn't going to tighten until the economy gets better, bizarrely. those comments initially send the market down hard. it made me think, what does the market say, what is wall street saying to him. they wanted to say, i'm going to plug the market with money even if things get good. would they have preferred them to tell us all is well, and i'm tightening right now? thankfully bernanke continues to do the right thing. i'm calling him the grown-up in chief. finally, i think we're going to see a real stimulus package coming out of congress. a bipartisan effort that will produce real jobs that use real equipment and fix real infrastructure. are you listening my friend? that's big news. it signals that the administration may be able to walk, chew gum and botch health care reform all at the same time. the bottom line, we slip through obama and china today. maybe this is the beginning of something big that will permanently sideline our two least favorite sea monsters. or maybe it's just a breather
. >>> meanwhile, federal reserve chairman ben bernanke on the hill today as well, responding to a news article that goldman sachs and other major investment banks were shorting the very greek debt that they were helping the country issue. senior economics reporter steve liesman now with that story. >> reporter: maria, thanks. fed chairman ben bernanke said that the fed is examining the actions of goldman sachs and other banks surrounding two issues. first, whether the bank helped sell debt that essentially allowed greece to disguise the true amount of its debt, and second, whether it was appropriate for them to be essentially shorting that debt through the derivatives known as credit default swaps. >> we are looking into a number of questions relating to goldman sachs and other companies and in their derivative's arrangements with greece, and on this issue as well. as you know credit default swaps are properly used as hedging instruments -- >> i agree. >> we, the s.e.c., of course, has been interested in this issue. obviously, using these instruments in a way that intentionally destabilizes a
was widely expected. ben bernanke came out last week saying a hike was coming, but many economists thought that the fed would at least wait until the next policy meeting next month. and in its statement, the fed says that the economic outlook does remain the same, reiterating that the benchmark rate will sustain for a period and that was echoed by the atlanta fed president, st. louis fed president and fed funds futures are pricing in a 25% chance of a rate hike by the end of the year. checking shares of u.s. bank in frankfurt, down across the board with citi lower, 1.4%. morgan stanley down 2.7%. ross. >> yeah. meanwhile, nicole, european stock markets ahead of the u.s. open, they've short of taken it mostly in their stride. we've had a sunny bit of green on the board this morning. we've dipped down slightly, off about .25% for the ftse 100. a little more for the german and french markets. smi, as we heard earlier, really good numbers from nestle, talking about growth in asia, so doing all the sort of things that james bev aan next to me likes. and the dollar has come off the highs on the
bernanke and the possibility of raising interest rates. or effectively raising interest rates. that is today's street poll. not long ago, this man had limited mobility. last month, this woman wasn't even able to get around inside of her own home. they chose mobility. and they chose the scooter store! if you or a loved one live with limited mobility call the scooter store! no other company will work harder to make you mobile or do more to guarantee your complete satisfaction. if we pre-qualify you for a new power chair or scooter and your claim isn't approved, the scooter store will give you your power chair or scooter free. that's our guarantee. they were so helpful and nice. they filed all the paperwork, and medicare and my insurance covered the cost. we can work directly with medicare or with your insurance company. we can even help with financing. if there's a way, we'll find it! so don't wait any longer, call the scooter store today. >>> as america slowly recovers from the recession many investors have been looking to china, the country's economy is in the middle of a huge
talking about bernanke in how the suggestion that rates will stay low for a long time, it was a positive for this market. >> i think so. i think that you're seeing a lot of sloppiness in a market without a lot of conviction. for my money i think that the two buzz words are exit strategy for 2010 and the sovereign risk and we've seen the risk. the euro gets their own structural problems but i think that the chinese implementing their exit strategy in the beginning of this year has kind of set the tone. bernanke's going to stay liquid, he's going to stay accomodated for a good long time and that's a mixed message. the fed's really not going to tighten, not going to make things difficult for us and then again the credit and the economy still needs a little bit support. we kind of grind out 2010, i think that we end up higher on the year but it's going to be a tough road down. >> so, do we end higher overall, you say? >> i think so in the u.s. >> substantially higher? >> i think high single digits will probably be a reasonable expectations. >> and what would be the way given the various fact
. >> okay let's talk about what went on this week, glenn, as ben bernanke addressed congressional commit these week. there's been so much attention focused on the fed and how they will unwind all of the monetary support that they've put into place to support the economy. last week the fed increasing that discount rate. what are your thoughts on the move so far? how much longer can the fed keep the rates as low as they are and still manage an exit strategy. >> i think that chairman bernanke said it well when he said that the fed would need to keep rates lo, certainly for most of this year. i think the balance sheet adjustments would happen before any formal changes in the federal funds rate. the real questions on an exit strategy aren't economic and technical. they're political. because the fed would have to unwind portfolios, things like mortgage-backed securities, long-term treasuries. that requires political courage, but i have every faith in the federal reserve that it can do this. >> let me ask you in terms of the administration in terms of the stimulus. they're talking about save, c
'll see what fed chairman ben bernanke has to say on tuesday and wednesday. he may shed a little more light on what the fed's policy actions yesterday and what they may be in the coming weeks and months. >> alex, what do you expect next week from bernanke and what do you think the reaction will be? >> it's two different things. i expect him to do nothing. what i would hope he does is raise rates. in the energy market you have a complete disconnect between fundamentals and price. if you look at the amount of crude, heat and gasoline in storage, we're at absurdly high levels but the price is also ridiculous and it's ridiculous because the dollar is so weak. so unless he does something and does what he should do you'll have crude continue to just drag itself higher with a weakening dollar and that's an unfortunate thing because it really doesn't help anybody. >> where do you think, alex, prices are going to be at memorial day on oil? >> i think what's going to happen is that i'm tending to fight this. i think that they want to push it towards $80 but i think it runs out of gas around the
of weeks, barack obama has crossed a rubicon. he had a chance to get rid of ben bernanke and replace him with someone like john taylor. he had a chance to get rid of tim geithner. he didn't do that. >> okay, peter, it sounds like a series of things in your view. i have got leave it there. we have breaking news over at the breaking news desk. steve? >> thanks very much. we have talked to senator she y shelby's office. his office is telling us the senator shelby still believes that regulatory reform bill is still possible this year. they reveal there has been an area of agreement that we didn't know about that they agreed on the idea of a consolidated regulator. where the disagreement is over the issue of consumer protection. dodd wants consumer protection part of the agency to write its own rules. shelby said consumer protection rules must coordinate with safety and soundness. no agreement on resolution authority and other areas. dodd says there is an impasse that doesn't mean that regulatory reform is dead. shelby's office believes it is possible. >> tax issues, health care, still very
. the fed was very clear about that in its statement. ben bernanke was very clear about that. we have to take them at their word. banks are still nursing a lot of wounds. >> they can say that all they want but the truth is rates are going to go up. for most americans that is the most important rate. >> well, so, they're not expecting a big increase in mortgage rates actually. when they stop buying mortgages in march. and to the extent that mortgage rates do go up, you know, think if anything it gives them less of an inclination to raise the fed fund rate further down the road. if you ask me, the odds of a feds fund rate increase later this year have actually gotten down in the last 24 hours and gone up because the number was soft. the soft cpi number means the dove have a strengther hand. they're saying we've got to keep rates low for a long time. the feds said this technical discount rate did not change the broader view of where the financial system and the economy are. >> can you explain why, then, they did this in an emergency way? they have this meeting where they make this decisi
me, i'm chaled. >> and what are you expecting to hear from bernanke on capitol hill tomorrow? you say restraint is needed. why and when? >> well, you know, the reason i think that restraint is needed is because i think that he may be getting a little bit behind the curve. the reason i say that is a lot of the so-called leading indicators of inflation, my work, suggested inflation in 2010 is going to be higher than the consensus expectation. so the consensus expects inflation to be around 2%. i think it could be over 3% in 2010. and i think bernanke needs to start move towards restraint, in other words, start to move towards some of the excess liquidity driving this inflation. so i think sooner as opposed to later. i actually think that if he starts to move towards restraint wibt might lead to an increase in bank lending, which is sorely acting. but nevertheless, i think he needs to move towards restraint sooner than the consensus believes, not later. >> that's what i wanted to ask you about. we're getting comments in from the fed's bill dudley who says small banks are fuelling the pre
. and with dr. bernanke scheduled to speak tomorrow, our sense is that that trade will be relatively quiet here. a high volume area last week was around 1064 even. we'll probably bing bong back and forth on that trade waiting for dr. bernanke or for further developments in europe. >> what's your view, jamie, about today's trade and whether you believe in the bounce we are likely to get, at least at the open? >> well, i think the most encouraging part is that this rally is coming from european financials. you can see all those works up markedly on yesterday's trade. domestically, local ibs have been overwhelmed by this european crisis. unemployment was a great number on friday. it exceeded expectations. earnings continue to be strong. we seem to have been weighed down by euro. if that turn around and those financials continue to hold these gains, it could be very good things domestically. >> jamie, most of the guys you trade with trade according to technical analysis charts and yada yada. let me run this by you. the day before yesterday, which was a monday, right? yeah. did monday look like a sh
for ben bernanke and the federal reserve, that there is a very substantial penalty for early withdrawal. we're seeing china and india tighten, now europe withdrawing its liquidity facilities. the u.s. would do well to mind this lesson. if we start to syphon off some of the liquidity, there really could be hell to pay. what we're seeing, when you mention gold, the deflation trade is being put back on. the dollar is going up, gold is going down, oil is collapsing, commodities across the board have been very weak. equity markets are falling all at the same time while domestic rates drop. for anybody worried about inflation in united states, the dollar is going up, u.s. rates are going down and the u.s. on a relative basis is still the safest market in the world no matter what anybody sayless. but there is a danger if the fed doesn't heed the lessons of what's going on elsewhere in the worldtion we, too, could face some of the problems like europe, although our banks are in better shape than yours. >> which is why, rick santelli, the china trade, you want to buy anything that need, we saw t
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